As renewables take a larger share of Europe’s power mix, markets are changing fast. Price spikes of several hundred euros per megawatt hour, negative prices, and rapid demand swings are becoming the norm rather than the exception. For trading desks, this creates opportunity. It also demands new forecasting tools, focused on intraday and built for the markets we are operating in.
Volatile is a specialized signal provider for European short-term power markets. We build forecasting and trading signal models for intraday and day-ahead markets on EPEX Spot, combining regional weather data, physics-based generation models and market dynamics in a single probabilistic pipeline.
Our forecasts are no point estimates. Every output includes uncertainty bands that describe the full range of possible outcomes and their likelihood. The bands stay narrow during stable market conditions and widen when volatility rises, making uncertainty explicit and allowing traders to quantify risks before markets move.
We build Volatile to help trading desks optimize positions across markets all the way to delivery, using models that turn market volatility into a measurable trading edge.